Skilluminati Research

5GWhat? The Meaning of “Warfare” in 2008

Posted May 22, 2008 14 comments

Skilluminati 5GW Project

A number of Skilluminati readers have voiced the concern that calling benevolent 5GW campaigns "warfare" is misleading or outright wrong. As Bruce Scanlon puts it:

WE have a great deal of choice about which scenario we will end up in, and WE have the power, within the scope of our own lives, to make significant contributions to these different scenarios.

I am not saying you can get the whole world to do what you want it to do, but I am saying that you can make your part of the world/find a part of the world a lot more to your liking-- and that you have a lot more power to do this than most people think.

This sizable power for change to me deserves more than to be categorized as “warfare,” 5th generation or not.

Is war merely overt violence? If you subdue your opponent using judo or aikido, is it still a fight? Bands of primates go to war, and I'm hoping humans can do better than the hunt-kill method. (Then again, maybe not: recently Israeli general Yossi Peled said "The only effect I know in warfare is to kill the enemy.") So first, let's take a look at my own cognitive biases...

Aikido Anarchism

My interest in warfare was awakened by the article Neocortical Warfare, which I immediately wrote a Brainsturbator article about. (I go into more depth about my vision for 5GW in a recent Wishtank interview.)

I suspect, but I cannot prove, that human beings can greatly amplify their personal power by aligning their goals and techniques with natural design. By fighting on the side of Life on Earth, we've opted for the most powerful available ally on the planet. Advances in human technology are based on principles decoded from nature, and nature remains vastly more sophisticated and robust than existing human technology.

So although my friendly local wikipedia has a detailed article on the history and theory of war, I find the "spectrum of conflict" and "measures short of war" drivel to be mostly intellectual apologies for the naked exercise of state power. We're all grown-ups, and we all know that power kills people every day. C'est la vie for better or worse, and it's obviously worse. Let's set academia aside and ask some questions instead.

Pointed Questions

Can you wage war without your opponent knowing it? Well, Condoleeza Rice and Donald Rumsfield were both totally shocked by 9-11, weren't they? The concept of planes as weapons was utterly unthinkable, despite the fact they were both repeatedly briefed about exactly that. You can view that as proof of conspiracy, or just another example of how cognitive bias blinds all humans equally.

The concept of the secret war is not new to 5GW, and I refer the reader to earlier and excellent reads from dan tdaxp, dan tdaxp again , and Zenpundit.

Is blogging warfare? According to the Department of Defense, the answer is "Yes." See, us independent media types are engaged in Information Operations (IO), formerly known by the less friendly and ambiguous term "Psychological Warfare." As John Rendon so eloquently put it: "Information is an instrument of national power, just as military, economic and political. Like any weapon or tool, the United States Government needs to use it or cede the 'battlefield' to someone else."

Is activism warfare? According to the White House, absolutely. All you non-violent liberal types are engaged in "Low-Intensity Conflict."

Low intensity conflict a political-military confrontation between contending states or groups below conventional war and above the routine, peaceful competition among states. It frequently involves protracted struggles of competing principles and ideologies. Low-intensity conflict ranges from subversion to the use of the armed forces. It is waged by a combination of means, employing political, economic, informational, and military instruments. Low-intensity conflicts are often localized, generally in the Third World, but contain regional and global security implications

Are domestic law enforcement operations warfare? It's an armed conflict, there's casualties involved, and the parallels between domestic law enforcement and foreign counter-insurgency are striking. Lethal use of force by police is legally justified, but does that nescessarily make it legitimate? (Every non-civilian casualty of war is legally justified, too.)

If You Want My Opinion

Resource shortages are manufactured and wars are not nescessary. However, in 2008 there exists a global power elite -- probably less than 100,000 of them altogether -- who posess far too much power and abuse it at will. As a result, millions of human beings around the world are suffering on a daily basis. Is that something worth fighting against? Would you term that conflict a "war?"

image

That graffitti basically sums up my outlook for 2008-2012. Every single human community on Earth has expanded exponentially and bumped shoulders on an abruptly crowded planet. Communities need to rethink everything and rebuild for a global future -- anyone trying to force a top-down solution is either willfully evil or catastrophically stupid. This applies from Al Gore to Vladimir Putin to Hugo Chavez to George Bush: you need to stop looking up to your leaders and start looking around to your neighborhoods.

More Pointed Questions

When the peace of Western affluence is made possible by the violent opression of Third World countries, what is the "spectrum of conflict" useful for? The thing to remember about the whole humans species is that it's the whole human species and all the lines we draw beyond that are arbitrary, often misleading and occasionally very useful. When you grow up in a home that's financed by profits from Lockheed Martin, is that peace? Is "peace" the condition that exists within the fortress walls of the gated communities and Green Zones?

Is the city of Chicago at war? Wikipedia has an outstanding map of ongoing conflicts around the world that's worth considering here -- armed conflict with organized crime surely qualifies as warfare, right? As the supporting data notes, "major wars are those that cause at least 1000 battlefield deaths annually," and if you dig around, you might it's kind of hard to find crime reported in human terms.

The usual factoid is the "Homicide Rate" -- how many homicides are reported annually, per 100,000 local residents. This renders death into an abstract index instead of a distinct and specific number of dead human beings. Reporting the numbers honestly is a body count, and body counts are alarming. Homicide Rate is like humidity, which is why you'll find most FBI/DoJ statistics published in that format.

In 1994, the city of New Orleans had 424 reported homicides. Drawing off data from Swivel's "Homicides in the US" spreadsheet, the Drug War in California is claiming more than enough lives every year to qualify as a "major war" -- a year before New Orleans peaked, Cali reported 4,096 homicides. From 1990 to 1994, the total number of US homicides floated between 23,000 and 24,000 annually -- then began a sharp decline. It's been stable at over 16,000 a year since 2001.

Last Word: Smitten Eagle

Smitten Eagle said "I’m not sure I necessarily buy into the 5GW frameworks yet. Trying to nail 4GW Jell-O to the wall is hard enough. 5GW is like nailing said Jell-O while it’s still liquid." His explanation of this is some of the best writing on 5GW I've found so far -- from a comment at Chicago Boyz:

As far as 5GW goes, I don’t think there is even a solid framework to rely on. Some have referred to 5GW as tactically being about changing the enemie’s Observation in the OODA loop to make him think he’s not even in conflict with the enemy. For me, this is too close to the political end of the Policy-War continuum of violence to be considered warfare.

Others have spoken about the role of the Super Empowered Individual (SEI) as a major actor in 5GW. I’m afraid that lone gunmen, in my conception of warfare, do not qualify as “organized violence.” For violence to be “organized,” it requires an Organization. An Organization of One is not an organization. I think there has to be more to organized violence than a single pissed-off dude with lots of cunning.

Finally, for 5GW to actually exist, it needs to have a strong track record of convincingly beating 4GW fighting forces. I’m afraid there really hasn’t been any evidence to support this. (Unless, of course, my denial of 5GW is evidence of it’s success…but if that’s the case, I think we’re getting a bit too close to Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle to speak anything authoritatively about 5GW, or any xGW for that matter.)

A great example of the circular reasoning and collapsing logic of Invisible War. My next post is what I've been working on this whole time -- a thinkpiece on how to wage war in a Universe that actually runs on Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle. Since that's the Universe we happen to live in.

Filed in: 5GW Project 2008

Next entry: Dreaming 5GW: Invisible War

Previous Entry: Two Cautionary Tales From the Front Lines

Comments

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  • 1. Thirtyseven on May 22, 2008 at 6:42 PM permalink

    Just found an outstanding link:

    http://modern-warfare.org/

  • 2. Captain Marginal on May 22, 2008 at 9:19 PM permalink

    “Others have spoken about the role of the Super Empowered Individual (SEI) as a major actor in 5GW. I’m afraid that lone gunmen, in my conception of warfare, do not qualify as “organized violence.” For violence to be “organized,” it requires an Organization. An Organization of One is not an organization. I think there has to be more to organized violence than a single pissed-off dude with lots of cunning.”

    This seems to completely miss the point of (let’s be frank) supervillains - or perhaps we should call them “science villains” ala Alan Moore. “Organization” does not imply multiple people - but at the same time no man is an island. Frankly, it seems like you hit the nail on the head by pointing out Henry Okah as the harbinger of things to come. Of course he created an “organization” in the traditional sense, but said organization was more like an extension of his own mind (enabled by revolutions in technology). One aspect of Okah’s organization which seems likely to be phased out is the “calling card”. In my opinion, 5th generation warriors are likely to drop this altogether and just focus on micro-economic and micro-social goals without creating unnecessary risks.

    It may have been naive for people to posit an exponential curve for technology, but information certainly seems to fit that model. Technology will probably catch up eventually, barring an insane fascist clampdown in order to head off the subsequent leveling of the playing field.

    “I’m not sure I necessarily buy into the 5GW frameworks yet. Trying to nail 4GW Jell-O to the wall is hard enough. 5GW is like nailing said Jell-O while it’s still liquid.”

    It seems like 5th generation warriors will often be people who have not even thought about frameworks - they’ll just be pulling pranks (AKA “sabotage") and stealing shit the best way they know how.

    The concept of a “stand-alone complex” from the Ghost In The Shell series seems to resonate here.

  • 3. Seán on May 23, 2008 at 12:57 PM permalink

    I think the problem comes from the simple power of the word “war”.  It immediately brings up images of uniformed soldiers with weapons hurting other soldiers (at best) or, more likely, innocent civilians.  That concept of warfare is pretty solid in the minds of most Westerners and will need a long time to acquire a redefinition.

    Most anarchists, libertarians and people who generally want to change their world find themselves uncomfortable with such a militaristic image and don’t consider themselves as warriors.

    5GW may justifiably be the right name, but it’s a damned ugly one!  What most want is 5th Generation Passive Resistance.  I just want people to think occasionally - that would be nice!

    Love,
    Seán

  • 4. Thirtyseven on May 23, 2008 at 2:01 PM permalink

    Henry Okah and MEND, according to the framework of war theory, are rooted in 4GW because of the “calling cards” and press releases—5GW will be invisible.

    I agree 100% that 5GW is an event horizon for warfare theory—it’s where war merges with everything else, where things become so radically different that the old theory is more of a hinderance than a help.

    I got an interesting email this morning from a reader who pointed out that everything we speculate on 5GW techniques has been in practice for thousands of years by occult secret societies.  I happen to agree with him and I’ll be drawing of Crowley just as much as Clausewitz.

  • 5. PurpleSlog on May 24, 2008 at 1:28 PM permalink

    Thirtyseven:

    “5GW is an event horizon for warfare theory”.

    Excellent insight!

    Sean:

    “I think the problem comes from the simple power of the word “war”. “

    I have been thinking recently that actors who think war is just kinetic/violence will loose often to those actors who don’t think that way.

  • 6. Themikenesedude on May 25, 2008 at 8:49 AM permalink

    Thirtyseven,

    Do you have the “RE/Search” William S. Burroughs cover issue? It has a short piece that came from some audiotape recordings Burroughs did and wasn’t published anywhere else. It’s called “The Revised Boy Scout Manual”. There’s a lot of material in there that could be strikingly accurate 5GW techniques so you might want to look it up.

    Oh it’s not out-of-print or rare either. This “RE/Search” issue should definitely be available on Amazon.com and if you have a halfway-decent library you should be able to find it there without too much effort.

  • 7. Mr. Nowhere on May 25, 2008 at 10:22 AM permalink

    Pretty striking when considering the HR 1955: 2007 Violent Radicalization & Homegrown Terrorism Prevention Act, which defines “violent radicalization” as promoting any belief system that the GOVERNMENT considers to be extremist. Which segues neatly with the DOD & White House definitions of information operations and low intensity conflict as mentioned in the article.

    If 5GW is the answer to that, then does it make “warfare” (however one chooses to define it under the ever-shifting paradigms and conditions that spawn it/interact with it/help it to evolve) more of a way of life than anything else?

  • 8. Thirtyseven on May 26, 2008 at 1:56 PM permalink

    A “way of life” is definitely where I’m headed.  And it’s not a new way of life, either. 

    I woke up this morning, after a long internets-less weekend, to two very flattering milestones: first, my articles here are being “scraped” by no less than 5 other blogs right now, and second, this article touched off a firestorm/debate over at tdaxp:

    http://www.tdaxp.com/archive/2008/05/23/5gw-as-the-event-horizon.html

    Far too theoretical for my blood.  I agree with Chet Richards:

    “According to the ancient warriors of the Sun Tzu school, the real situation is even worse than complacency-invites-decline.  That, at least, is well within our own tradition.  Musashi proclaimed that any manifestation of the stance mentality, even if assumed with vigilance and paranoia, will always generate a defensive spirit and so will open vulnerabilities.

    One might do better to emulate the Zen warriors who knew that the only resource that will ensure victory is resourcefulness itself.”

    from: http://tinyurl.com/4mf3by

  • 9. Fabius Maximus on May 26, 2008 at 9:19 PM permalink

    Definitions of war that use absolute numbers, like “major wars are those that cause at least 1000 battlefield deaths annually” are absurd.  The number of deaths is relevant only to the size of the society.

    The confused definition of “war” has put 4GW theory into a dark alley with no apparent exit.  I suggest going back to Martin van Creveld’s original work, the basis for 4GW theory. The concept needs to be re-thought, imo.

  • 10. posquant on May 30, 2008 at 4:13 PM permalink

    Why fight for life on earth.  Why fight “as” it? 

    Nothing personal, maybe?  Perhaps, collectively, we’ve already failed again. So some old old stories seem to go.  Just a number’s game. This time?  Too much crack?  Soap operas?  Too many dumbass patriots? 

    All I wanna’ know is ... who the f>>> claims quality and authority to decide.

    Fair question.  Nature is one thing.  Nurture… another, entirely.

    PQ

  • 11. Thirtyseven on May 30, 2008 at 4:20 PM permalink

    Could be a fair question, but you need to be way more clear and coherent before I can give you an answer.  What are you even asking?

  • 12. What is the meaning of life on Jun 03, 2008 at 10:56 PM permalink

    Its just common sense to believe that human beings can greatly amplify their personal power by aligning their goals and techniques with natural design. Nothing to prove

  • 13. Bruce on Jun 13, 2008 at 4:47 AM permalink

    Thanks for the quote!  I have a great deal of respect for your work and feel honored for the citation.

    BTW your email notification of new post thing appears not to be working.

  • 14. Bruce on Jun 13, 2008 at 4:52 AM permalink

    O, was also going to say, as a comment on the previous post (comment period expired), that I was recently in the USA at a party with many people that I have a long though only occasional acquaintance.

    I was surprised at the change I saw in people who are normally very upbeat and spunky.

    Talking to these folks, I agree with your assessment about the “pulse” or general attitude-- they are unhappy about the current state of things, and don’t see anything happening to suggest that it’s going to get better.

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